Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kochi高知県

Kitagawa 北川村

Data last updated:

Kitagawa, Kochi, Japan has a population of 1,146 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 913 by 2030 and 583 by 2050 (a decrease of about 49.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 44.1% to 54.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

1,146

2030

(Projection)

913

-20.3%

2040

(Projection)

734

-36.0%

2050

(Projection)

583

-49.1%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 44.1%2050 54.9%

Other municipalities in Kochi (高知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kitagawa Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
20201,146Census
20251,027▼ -10.4%Projection
2030913▼ -20.3%Projection
2035823▼ -28.2%Projection
2040734▼ -36.0%Projection
2045651▼ -43.2%Projection
2050583▼ -49.1%Projection

About Kitagawa

Overview

Kitagawa (北川村) is a municipality in Kochi, Japan, with a population of 1,146 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Kitagawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kitagawa's population is expected to reach 913 by 2030 (-20.3%), 734 by 2040 (-36.0%), and 583 by 2050 (-49.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kitagawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 44.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 54.9% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Kitagawa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #377 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #285 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1872 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kochi

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kitagawa, Kochi?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Kitagawa has a population of 1,146.
Q.What is the population of Kitagawa in 2026?
A.Kitagawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 1,004. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (1,146) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (913).
Q.What is the projected population of Kitagawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kitagawa's population is expected to be 913 in 2030, 734 in 2040, and 583 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kitagawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kitagawa's population is projected to change by -49.1%. The 10-year change is -20.3% and the 20-year change is -36.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Kitagawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kitagawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 44.1% to 54.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kitagawa?
A.Kitagawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 44.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 54.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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