Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kochi高知県

Ookawa 大川村

Data last updated:

Ookawa, Kochi, Japan has a population of 336 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 270 by 2030 and 174 by 2050 (a decrease of about 52.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 41.0% in 2020 to 39.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

336

2030

(Projection)

270

▼ -26.2%

2040

(Projection)

213

▼ -41.8%

2050

(Projection)

174

▼ -52.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 41%→2050 39.7%

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Other municipalities in Kochi (高知県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Ookawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980906▲ +147.5%Census
1985751▲ +105.2%Census
1990758▲ +107.1%Census
1995680▲ +85.8%Census
2000569▲ +55.5%Census
2005538▲ +47.0%Census
2010411▲ +12.3%Census
2015396▲ +8.2%Census
2020366—Census
2025336▼ -8.2%Census
2030270▼ -26.2%Projection
2035239▼ -34.7%Projection
2040213▼ -41.8%Projection
2045193▼ -47.3%Projection
2050174▼ -52.5%Projection

About Ookawa

Overview

Ookawa (大川村) is a municipality in Kochi, Japan, with a population of 336 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Ookawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Ookawa's population is expected to reach 270 by 2030 (-26.2%), 213 by 2040 (-41.8%), and 174 by 2050 (-52.5%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Ookawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 41.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 39.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Ookawa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #249 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1292 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1910 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kochi

Earnings in Kochi (高知県): Average salary in Kochi (高知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Ookawa, Kochi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Ookawa has a population of 336.
Q.What is the population of Ookawa in 2026?
A.Ookawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 323. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (336) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (270).
Q.What is the projected population of Ookawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Ookawa's population is expected to be 270 in 2030, 213 in 2040, and 174 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Ookawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Ookawa's population is projected to change by -52.5%. The 10-year change is -26.2% and the 20-year change is -41.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Ookawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Ookawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 41.0% to 39.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Ookawa?
A.Ookawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 41.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 39.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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