Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kochi高知県

Niyodogawa 仁淀川町

Data last updated:

Niyodogawa, Kochi, Japan has a population of 4,010 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,548 by 2030 and 1,821 by 2050 (a decrease of about 62.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 55.7% in 2020 to 61.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

4,010

2030

(Projection)

3,548

▼ -26.5%

2040

(Projection)

2,559

▼ -47.0%

2050

(Projection)

1,821

▼ -62.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 55.7%→2050 61.1%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Niyodogawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198011,672▲ +141.8%Census
198510,333▲ +114.1%Census
19909,518▲ +97.2%Census
19958,919▲ +84.8%Census
20008,189▲ +69.6%Census
20057,347▲ +52.2%Census
20106,500▲ +34.7%Census
20155,551▲ +15.0%Census
20204,827—Census
20254,010▼ -16.9%Census
20303,548▼ -26.5%Projection
20353,014▼ -37.6%Projection
20402,559▼ -47.0%Projection
20452,164▼ -55.2%Projection
20501,821▼ -62.3%Projection

About Niyodogawa

Overview

Niyodogawa (仁淀川町) is a municipality in Kochi, Japan, with a population of 4,010 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Niyodogawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Niyodogawa's population is expected to reach 3,548 by 2030 (-26.5%), 2,559 by 2040 (-47.0%), and 1,821 by 2050 (-62.3%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Niyodogawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 55.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 61.1% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Niyodogawa is among the most rapidly declining municipalities in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #43 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #81 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1660 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kochi

Earnings in Kochi (高知県): Average salary in Kochi (高知県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Niyodogawa, Kochi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Niyodogawa has a population of 4,010.
Q.What is the population of Niyodogawa in 2026?
A.Niyodogawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 3,918. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (4,010) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,548).
Q.What is the projected population of Niyodogawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Niyodogawa's population is expected to be 3,548 in 2030, 2,559 in 2040, and 1,821 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Niyodogawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Niyodogawa's population is projected to change by -62.3%. The 10-year change is -26.5% and the 20-year change is -47.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Niyodogawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Niyodogawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 55.7% to 61.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Niyodogawa?
A.Niyodogawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 55.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 61.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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