Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Akabira 赤平市

Data last updated:

Akabira, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 8,261 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 7,186 by 2030 and 3,643 by 2050 (a decrease of about 62.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 49.0% in 2020 to 60.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

8,261

2030

(Projection)

7,186

▼ -25.9%

2040

(Projection)

5,207

▼ -46.3%

2050

(Projection)

3,643

▼ -62.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 49%→2050 60.3%

Enter your age

See the population of 赤平市 when you turn 50, 60, 70 and 80.

years old

Other municipalities in Hokkaido (北海道)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Akabira Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198025,467▲ +162.6%Census
198522,645▲ +133.5%Census
199019,409▲ +100.1%Census
199517,351▲ +78.9%Census
200015,753▲ +62.4%Census
200514,401▲ +48.5%Census
201012,637▲ +30.3%Census
201511,105▲ +14.5%Census
20209,698—Census
20258,261▼ -14.8%Census
20307,186▼ -25.9%Projection
20356,145▼ -36.6%Projection
20405,207▼ -46.3%Projection
20454,365▼ -55.0%Projection
20503,643▼ -62.4%Projection

About Akabira

Overview

Akabira (赤平市) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 8,261 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Akabira

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Akabira's population is expected to reach 7,186 by 2030 (-25.9%), 5,207 by 2040 (-46.3%), and 3,643 by 2050 (-62.4%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Akabira

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 49.0% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 60.3% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Akabira is among the most rapidly declining municipalities in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #39 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #95 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1417 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Akabira, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Akabira has a population of 8,261.
Q.What is the population of Akabira in 2026?
A.Akabira's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 8,046. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (8,261) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (7,186).
Q.What is the projected population of Akabira in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Akabira's population is expected to be 7,186 in 2030, 5,207 in 2040, and 3,643 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Akabira?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Akabira's population is projected to change by -62.4%. The 10-year change is -25.9% and the 20-year change is -46.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Akabira declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Akabira, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 49.0% to 60.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Akabira?
A.Akabira's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 49.0% as of 2020, projected to rise to 60.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Hokkaido

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page