Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Teine 札幌市手稲区

Data last updated:

Teine, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 139,030 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 138,018 by 2030 and 119,405 by 2050 (a decrease of about 16.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 31.8% in 2020 to 44.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

139,030

2030

(Projection)

138,018

▼ -3.2%

2040

(Projection)

129,538

▼ -9.2%

2050

(Projection)

119,405

▼ -16.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 31.8%→2050 44.3%

Other municipalities in Hokkaido (北海道)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Teine Population Table (1990–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1990110,974▼ -22.2%Census
1995129,484▼ -9.2%Census
2000136,006▼ -4.6%Census
2005137,601▼ -3.5%Census
2010139,644▼ -2.1%Census
2015140,999▼ -1.1%Census
2020142,625—Census
2025139,030▼ -2.5%Census
2030138,018▼ -3.2%Projection
2035134,271▼ -5.9%Projection
2040129,538▼ -9.2%Projection
2045124,361▼ -12.8%Projection
2050119,405▼ -16.3%Projection

About Teine

Overview

Teine (札幌市手稲区) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 139,030 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Teine

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Teine's population is expected to reach 138,018 by 2030 (-3.2%), 129,538 by 2040 (-9.2%), and 119,405 by 2050 (-16.3%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Teine

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 31.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.3% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Teine's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1449 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #926 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #295 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Teine, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Teine has a population of 139,030.
Q.What is the population of Teine in 2026?
A.Teine's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 138,828. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (139,030) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (138,018).
Q.What is the projected population of Teine in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Teine's population is expected to be 138,018 in 2030, 129,538 in 2040, and 119,405 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Teine?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Teine's population is projected to change by -16.3%. The 10-year change is -3.2% and the 20-year change is -9.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Teine declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Teine, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 31.8% to 44.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Teine?
A.Teine's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 31.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 44.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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