Hokkaido北海道
Asahikawa 旭川市
Data last updated:
Asahikawa, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 305,430 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 298,861 by 2030 and 236,115 by 2050 (a decrease of about 28.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 34.6% in 2020 to 45.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)
2025
(Census)
305,430
2030
(Projection)
298,861
▼ -9.2%
2040
(Projection)
267,991
▼ -18.6%
2050
(Projection)
236,115
▼ -28.3%
Change vs. 2020 census
Other municipalities in Hokkaido (北海道)
Data Sources
- Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
- National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)
* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.
Asahikawa Population Table (1980–2050)
Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.
| Year | Population | vs 2020 | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | 352,619 | ▲ +7.1% | Census |
| 1985 | 363,631 | ▲ +10.4% | Census |
| 1990 | 359,071 | ▲ +9.0% | Census |
| 1995 | 360,568 | ▲ +9.5% | Census |
| 2000 | 359,536 | ▲ +9.2% | Census |
| 2005 | 355,004 | ▲ +7.8% | Census |
| 2010 | 347,095 | ▲ +5.4% | Census |
| 2015 | 339,605 | ▲ +3.1% | Census |
| 2020 | 329,306 | — | Census |
| 2025 | 305,430 | ▼ -7.3% | Census |
| 2030 | 298,861 | ▼ -9.2% | Projection |
| 2035 | 283,763 | ▼ -13.8% | Projection |
| 2040 | 267,991 | ▼ -18.6% | Projection |
| 2045 | 251,942 | ▼ -23.5% | Projection |
| 2050 | 236,115 | ▼ -28.3% | Projection |
About Asahikawa
Overview
Asahikawa (旭川市) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 305,430 as of 2025.
Population Projection of Asahikawa
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Asahikawa's population is expected to reach 298,861 by 2030 (-9.2%), 267,991 by 2040 (-18.6%), and 236,115 by 2050 (-28.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.
Aging Rate of Asahikawa
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 34.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 45.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.
National Comparison
Asahikawa's population decline rate exceeds the national average.
National and Prefectural Rank
- Population decline rate: Ranked #1108 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
- Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #879 out of 1903 nationwide.
- Population size: Ranked #88 out of 1917 nationwide.
- Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido
Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure