Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Kushiro 釧路市

Data last updated:

Kushiro, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 151,171 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 141,611 by 2030 and 98,544 by 2050 (a decrease of about 40.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 34.4% in 2020 to 46.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

151,171

2030

(Projection)

141,611

▼ -14.2%

2040

(Projection)

119,698

▼ -27.5%

2050

(Projection)

98,544

▼ -40.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 34.4%→2050 46.9%

Other municipalities in Hokkaido (北海道)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kushiro Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
1980227,234▲ +37.7%Census
1985226,097▲ +37.0%Census
1990216,423▲ +31.1%Census
1995209,680▲ +27.0%Census
2000201,566▲ +22.1%Census
2005190,478▲ +15.4%Census
2010181,169▲ +9.7%Census
2015174,742▲ +5.9%Census
2020165,077—Census
2025151,171▼ -8.4%Census
2030141,611▼ -14.2%Projection
2035130,685▼ -20.8%Projection
2040119,698▼ -27.5%Projection
2045108,859▼ -34.1%Projection
205098,544▼ -40.3%Projection

About Kushiro

Overview

Kushiro (釧路市) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 151,171 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kushiro

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kushiro's population is expected to reach 141,611 by 2030 (-14.2%), 119,698 by 2040 (-27.5%), and 98,544 by 2050 (-40.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kushiro

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 34.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 46.9% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kushiro is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #707 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #753 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #259 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kushiro, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kushiro has a population of 151,171.
Q.What is the population of Kushiro in 2026?
A.Kushiro's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 149,259. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (151,171) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (141,611).
Q.What is the projected population of Kushiro in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kushiro's population is expected to be 141,611 in 2030, 119,698 in 2040, and 98,544 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kushiro?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kushiro's population is projected to change by -40.3%. The 10-year change is -14.2% and the 20-year change is -27.5%.
Q.Why is the population of Kushiro declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kushiro, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 34.4% to 46.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kushiro?
A.Kushiro's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 34.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 46.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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