Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Abashiri 網走市

Data last updated:

Abashiri, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 32,737 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 29,893 by 2030 and 21,159 by 2050 (a decrease of about 40.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 31.6% in 2020 to 42.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

32,737

2030

(Projection)

29,893

▼ -16.4%

2040

(Projection)

25,416

▼ -28.9%

2050

(Projection)

21,159

▼ -40.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 31.6%→2050 42.8%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Abashiri Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198044,777▲ +25.2%Census
198544,283▲ +23.8%Census
199044,416▲ +24.2%Census
199544,176▲ +23.5%Census
200043,395▲ +21.4%Census
200542,045▲ +17.6%Census
201040,998▲ +14.7%Census
201539,077▲ +9.3%Census
202035,759—Census
202532,737▼ -8.5%Census
203029,893▼ -16.4%Projection
203527,659▼ -22.7%Projection
204025,416▼ -28.9%Projection
204523,209▼ -35.1%Projection
205021,159▼ -40.8%Projection

About Abashiri

Overview

Abashiri (網走市) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 32,737 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Abashiri

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Abashiri's population is expected to reach 29,893 by 2030 (-16.4%), 25,416 by 2040 (-28.9%), and 21,159 by 2050 (-40.8%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Abashiri

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 31.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 42.8% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Abashiri is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #687 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1032 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #855 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Abashiri, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Abashiri has a population of 32,737.
Q.What is the population of Abashiri in 2026?
A.Abashiri's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 32,168. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (32,737) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (29,893).
Q.What is the projected population of Abashiri in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Abashiri's population is expected to be 29,893 in 2030, 25,416 in 2040, and 21,159 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Abashiri?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Abashiri's population is projected to change by -40.8%. The 10-year change is -16.4% and the 20-year change is -28.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Abashiri declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Abashiri, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 31.6% to 42.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Abashiri?
A.Abashiri's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 31.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 42.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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