Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Makubetsu 幕別町

Data last updated:

Makubetsu, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 24,199 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 23,625 by 2030 and 18,386 by 2050 (a decrease of about 28.6% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 33.6% in 2020 to 47.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

24,199

2030

(Projection)

23,625

▼ -8.3%

2040

(Projection)

21,124

▼ -18.0%

2050

(Projection)

18,386

▼ -28.6%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 33.6%→2050 47.1%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Makubetsu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198022,390▼ -13.1%Census
198523,497▼ -8.8%Census
199023,408▼ -9.2%Census
199524,240▼ -5.9%Census
200026,080▲ +1.2%Census
200526,868▲ +4.3%Census
201026,547▲ +3.0%Census
201526,760▲ +3.9%Census
202025,766—Census
202524,199▼ -6.1%Census
203023,625▼ -8.3%Projection
203522,401▼ -13.1%Projection
204021,124▼ -18.0%Projection
204519,783▼ -23.2%Projection
205018,386▼ -28.6%Projection

About Makubetsu

Overview

Makubetsu (幕別町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 24,199 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Makubetsu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Makubetsu's population is expected to reach 23,625 by 2030 (-8.3%), 21,124 by 2040 (-18.0%), and 18,386 by 2050 (-28.6%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Makubetsu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 33.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 47.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Makubetsu's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1101 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #743 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1006 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Makubetsu, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Makubetsu has a population of 24,199.
Q.What is the population of Makubetsu in 2026?
A.Makubetsu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 24,084. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (24,199) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (23,625).
Q.What is the projected population of Makubetsu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Makubetsu's population is expected to be 23,625 in 2030, 21,124 in 2040, and 18,386 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Makubetsu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Makubetsu's population is projected to change by -28.6%. The 10-year change is -8.3% and the 20-year change is -18.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Makubetsu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Makubetsu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 33.6% to 47.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Makubetsu?
A.Makubetsu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 33.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 47.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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