Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Akkeshi 厚岸町

Data last updated:

Akkeshi, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 7,861 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 7,202 by 2030 and 4,343 by 2050 (a decrease of about 51.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.8% in 2020 to 47.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

7,861

2030

(Projection)

7,202

▼ -19.0%

2040

(Projection)

5,697

▼ -35.9%

2050

(Projection)

4,343

▼ -51.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35.8%→2050 47%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Akkeshi Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198015,940▲ +79.3%Census
198515,417▲ +73.4%Census
199014,093▲ +58.5%Census
199513,076▲ +47.1%Census
200012,307▲ +38.4%Census
200511,525▲ +29.6%Census
201010,630▲ +19.5%Census
20159,778▲ +10.0%Census
20208,892—Census
20257,861▼ -11.6%Census
20307,202▼ -19.0%Projection
20356,429▼ -27.7%Projection
20405,697▼ -35.9%Projection
20455,000▼ -43.8%Projection
20504,343▼ -51.2%Projection

About Akkeshi

Overview

Akkeshi (厚岸町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 7,861 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Akkeshi

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Akkeshi's population is expected to reach 7,202 by 2030 (-19.0%), 5,697 by 2040 (-35.9%), and 4,343 by 2050 (-51.2%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Akkeshi

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 47.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Akkeshi is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #290 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #748 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1431 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Akkeshi, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Akkeshi has a population of 7,861.
Q.What is the population of Akkeshi in 2026?
A.Akkeshi's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 7,729. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (7,861) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (7,202).
Q.What is the projected population of Akkeshi in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Akkeshi's population is expected to be 7,202 in 2030, 5,697 in 2040, and 4,343 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Akkeshi?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Akkeshi's population is projected to change by -51.2%. The 10-year change is -19.0% and the 20-year change is -35.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Akkeshi declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Akkeshi, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.8% to 47.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Akkeshi?
A.Akkeshi's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 47.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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