Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Esashi 枝幸町

Data last updated:

Esashi, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 7,021 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 6,203 by 2030 and 3,932 by 2050 (a decrease of about 48.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.6% in 2020 to 45.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

7,021

2030

(Projection)

6,203

▼ -18.0%

2040

(Projection)

5,007

▼ -33.8%

2050

(Projection)

3,932

▼ -48.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35.6%→2050 45.1%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Esashi Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198013,633▲ +80.2%Census
198512,932▲ +70.9%Census
199011,819▲ +56.2%Census
199511,144▲ +47.3%Census
200010,509▲ +38.9%Census
20059,815▲ +29.7%Census
20109,125▲ +20.6%Census
20158,437▲ +11.5%Census
20207,565—Census
20257,021▼ -7.2%Census
20306,203▼ -18.0%Projection
20355,596▼ -26.0%Projection
20405,007▼ -33.8%Projection
20454,456▼ -41.1%Projection
20503,932▼ -48.0%Projection

About Esashi

Overview

Esashi (枝幸町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 7,021 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Esashi

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Esashi's population is expected to reach 6,203 by 2030 (-18.0%), 5,007 by 2040 (-33.8%), and 3,932 by 2050 (-48.0%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Esashi

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 45.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Esashi is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #407 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #880 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1471 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Esashi, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Esashi has a population of 7,021.
Q.What is the population of Esashi in 2026?
A.Esashi's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 6,857. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (7,021) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (6,203).
Q.What is the projected population of Esashi in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Esashi's population is expected to be 6,203 in 2030, 5,007 in 2040, and 3,932 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Esashi?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Esashi's population is projected to change by -48.0%. The 10-year change is -18.0% and the 20-year change is -33.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Esashi declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Esashi, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.6% to 45.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Esashi?
A.Esashi's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 45.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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