Japan Population Decline Simulator

Fukuoka福岡県

Keisen 桂川町

Data last updated:

Keisen, Fukuoka, Japan has a population of 12,203 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 11,440 by 2030 and 8,715 by 2050 (a decrease of about 32.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.4% in 2020 to 41.4%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

12,203

2030

(Projection)

11,440

▼ -11.2%

2040

(Projection)

10,051

▼ -22.0%

2050

(Projection)

8,715

▼ -32.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35.4%→2050 41.4%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Keisen Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198012,780▼ -0.8%Census
198513,741▲ +6.7%Census
199014,182▲ +10.1%Census
199514,667▲ +13.9%Census
200014,760▲ +14.6%Census
200514,535▲ +12.9%Census
201013,863▲ +7.6%Census
201513,496▲ +4.8%Census
202012,878—Census
202512,203▼ -5.2%Census
203011,440▼ -11.2%Projection
203510,751▼ -16.5%Projection
204010,051▼ -22.0%Projection
20459,357▼ -27.3%Projection
20508,715▼ -32.3%Projection

About Keisen

Overview

Keisen (桂川町) is a municipality in Fukuoka, Japan, with a population of 12,203 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Keisen

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Keisen's population is expected to reach 11,440 by 2030 (-11.2%), 10,051 by 2040 (-22.0%), and 8,715 by 2050 (-32.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Keisen

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 41.4% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Keisen's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #983 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1143 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1282 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Fukuoka

Earnings in Fukuoka (福岡県): Average salary in Fukuoka (福岡県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Keisen, Fukuoka?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Keisen has a population of 12,203.
Q.What is the population of Keisen in 2026?
A.Keisen's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 12,050. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (12,203) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (11,440).
Q.What is the projected population of Keisen in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Keisen's population is expected to be 11,440 in 2030, 10,051 in 2040, and 8,715 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Keisen?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Keisen's population is projected to change by -32.3%. The 10-year change is -11.2% and the 20-year change is -22.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Keisen declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Keisen, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.4% to 41.4% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Keisen?
A.Keisen's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 41.4% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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