Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kumamoto熊本県

Nankan 南関町

Data last updated:

Nankan, Kumamoto, Japan has a population of 8,068 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 7,629 by 2030 and 5,179 by 2050 (a decrease of about 42.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 39.4% in 2020 to 46.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

8,068

2030

(Projection)

7,629

▼ -15.0%

2040

(Projection)

6,343

▼ -29.4%

2050

(Projection)

5,179

▼ -42.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 39.4%→2050 46.8%

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Other municipalities in Kumamoto (熊本県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nankan Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198012,498▲ +39.2%Census
198512,478▲ +39.0%Census
199012,247▲ +36.4%Census
199512,076▲ +34.5%Census
200011,821▲ +31.7%Census
200511,203▲ +24.8%Census
201010,564▲ +17.7%Census
20159,786▲ +9.0%Census
20208,979—Census
20258,068▼ -10.1%Census
20307,629▼ -15.0%Projection
20356,970▼ -22.4%Projection
20406,343▼ -29.4%Projection
20455,749▼ -36.0%Projection
20505,179▼ -42.3%Projection

About Nankan

Overview

Nankan (南関町) is a municipality in Kumamoto, Japan, with a population of 8,068 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nankan

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nankan's population is expected to reach 7,629 by 2030 (-15.0%), 6,343 by 2040 (-29.4%), and 5,179 by 2050 (-42.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Nankan

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 39.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 46.8% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nankan is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #643 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #769 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1424 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kumamoto

Earnings in Kumamoto (熊本県): Average salary in Kumamoto (熊本県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nankan, Kumamoto?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nankan has a population of 8,068.
Q.What is the population of Nankan in 2026?
A.Nankan's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 7,980. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (8,068) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (7,629).
Q.What is the projected population of Nankan in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nankan's population is expected to be 7,629 in 2030, 6,343 in 2040, and 5,179 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nankan?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nankan's population is projected to change by -42.3%. The 10-year change is -15.0% and the 20-year change is -29.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Nankan declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nankan, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 39.4% to 46.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nankan?
A.Nankan's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 39.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 46.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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