Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kumamoto熊本県

Nishihara 西原村

Data last updated:

Nishihara, Kumamoto, Japan has a population of 6,826 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 6,367 by 2030 and 6,013 by 2050 (a decrease of about 6.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 31.5% in 2020 to 43.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

6,826

2030

(Projection)

6,367

▼ -0.9%

2040

(Projection)

6,254

▼ -2.7%

2050

(Projection)

6,013

▼ -6.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 31.5%→2050 43.3%

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Other municipalities in Kumamoto (熊本県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Nishihara Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19804,824▼ -24.9%Census
19854,921▼ -23.4%Census
19905,024▼ -21.8%Census
19955,144▼ -20.0%Census
20005,728▼ -10.9%Census
20056,352▼ -1.2%Census
20106,792▲ +5.7%Census
20156,802▲ +5.9%Census
20206,426—Census
20256,826▲ +6.2%Census
20306,367▼ -0.9%Projection
20356,318▼ -1.7%Projection
20406,254▼ -2.7%Projection
20456,164▼ -4.1%Projection
20506,013▼ -6.4%Projection

About Nishihara

Overview

Nishihara (西原村) is a municipality in Kumamoto, Japan, with a population of 6,826 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Nishihara

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Nishihara's population is expected to reach 6,367 by 2030 (-0.9%), 6,254 by 2040 (-2.7%), and 6,013 by 2050 (-6.4%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Nishihara

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 31.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.3% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Nishihara's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1689 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1001 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1482 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kumamoto

Earnings in Kumamoto (熊本県): Average salary in Kumamoto (熊本県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Nishihara, Kumamoto?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Nishihara has a population of 6,826.
Q.What is the population of Nishihara in 2026?
A.Nishihara's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 6,734. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (6,826) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (6,367).
Q.What is the projected population of Nishihara in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Nishihara's population is expected to be 6,367 in 2030, 6,254 in 2040, and 6,013 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Nishihara?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Nishihara's population is projected to change by -6.4%. The 10-year change is -0.9% and the 20-year change is -2.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Nishihara declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Nishihara, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 31.5% to 43.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Nishihara?
A.Nishihara's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 31.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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