Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kumamoto熊本県

Minamioguni 南小国町

Data last updated:

Minamioguni, Kumamoto, Japan has a population of 3,462 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,275 by 2030 and 2,473 by 2050 (a decrease of about 34.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.3% in 2020 to 43.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

3,462

2030

(Projection)

3,275

▼ -12.7%

2040

(Projection)

2,855

▼ -23.9%

2050

(Projection)

2,473

▼ -34.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 40.3%→2050 43.6%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Minamioguni Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19805,319▲ +41.8%Census
19855,221▲ +39.2%Census
19904,973▲ +32.6%Census
19954,818▲ +28.5%Census
20004,657▲ +24.2%Census
20054,687▲ +25.0%Census
20104,429▲ +18.1%Census
20154,048▲ +7.9%Census
20203,750—Census
20253,462▼ -7.7%Census
20303,275▼ -12.7%Projection
20353,062▼ -18.3%Projection
20402,855▼ -23.9%Projection
20452,662▼ -29.0%Projection
20502,473▼ -34.1%Projection

About Minamioguni

Overview

Minamioguni (南小国町) is a municipality in Kumamoto, Japan, with a population of 3,462 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Minamioguni

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Minamioguni's population is expected to reach 3,275 by 2030 (-12.7%), 2,855 by 2040 (-23.9%), and 2,473 by 2050 (-34.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Minamioguni

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Minamioguni's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #923 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #978 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1695 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kumamoto

Earnings in Kumamoto (熊本県): Average salary in Kumamoto (熊本県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Minamioguni, Kumamoto?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Minamioguni has a population of 3,462.
Q.What is the population of Minamioguni in 2026?
A.Minamioguni's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 3,425. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (3,462) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,275).
Q.What is the projected population of Minamioguni in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Minamioguni's population is expected to be 3,275 in 2030, 2,855 in 2040, and 2,473 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Minamioguni?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Minamioguni's population is projected to change by -34.1%. The 10-year change is -12.7% and the 20-year change is -23.9%.
Q.Why is the population of Minamioguni declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Minamioguni, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 40.3% to 43.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Minamioguni?
A.Minamioguni's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 40.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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