Japan Population Decline Simulator

Kumamoto熊本県

Mifune 御船町

Data last updated:

Mifune, Kumamoto, Japan has a population of 16,527 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 15,883 by 2030 and 13,560 by 2050 (a decrease of about 16.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 34.9% in 2020 to 38.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

16,527

2030

(Projection)

15,883

▼ -2.6%

2040

(Projection)

14,672

▼ -10.0%

2050

(Projection)

13,560

▼ -16.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 34.9%→2050 38.7%

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Other municipalities in Kumamoto (熊本県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Mifune Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198017,536▲ +7.6%Census
198517,979▲ +10.3%Census
199017,952▲ +10.1%Census
199518,438▲ +13.1%Census
200018,532▲ +13.7%Census
200518,116▲ +11.1%Census
201017,888▲ +9.7%Census
201517,237▲ +5.7%Census
202016,303—Census
202516,527▲ +1.4%Census
203015,883▼ -2.6%Projection
203515,284▼ -6.3%Projection
204014,672▼ -10.0%Projection
204514,104▼ -13.5%Projection
205013,560▼ -16.8%Projection

About Mifune

Overview

Mifune (御船町) is a municipality in Kumamoto, Japan, with a population of 16,527 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Mifune

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Mifune's population is expected to reach 15,883 by 2030 (-2.6%), 14,672 by 2040 (-10.0%), and 13,560 by 2050 (-16.8%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Mifune

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 34.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 38.7% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Mifune's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1441 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1365 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1147 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Kumamoto

Earnings in Kumamoto (熊本県): Average salary in Kumamoto (熊本県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Mifune, Kumamoto?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Mifune has a population of 16,527.
Q.What is the population of Mifune in 2026?
A.Mifune's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 16,398. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (16,527) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (15,883).
Q.What is the projected population of Mifune in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Mifune's population is expected to be 15,883 in 2030, 14,672 in 2040, and 13,560 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Mifune?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Mifune's population is projected to change by -16.8%. The 10-year change is -2.6% and the 20-year change is -10.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Mifune declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Mifune, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 34.9% to 38.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Mifune?
A.Mifune's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 34.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 38.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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