Japan Population Decline Simulator

Oita大分県

Bungotakada 豊後高田市

Data last updated:

Bungotakada, Oita, Japan has a population of 21,229 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 19,926 by 2030 and 15,895 by 2050 (a decrease of about 28.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 38.8% in 2020 to 42.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

21,229

2030

(Projection)

19,926

▼ -9.9%

2040

(Projection)

17,853

▼ -19.3%

2050

(Projection)

15,895

▼ -28.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 38.8%→2050 42.1%

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Other municipalities in Oita (大分県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Bungotakada Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198030,705▲ +38.9%Census
198529,812▲ +34.8%Census
199028,798▲ +30.2%Census
199527,337▲ +23.6%Census
200026,206▲ +18.5%Census
200525,114▲ +13.6%Census
201023,906▲ +8.1%Census
201522,853▲ +3.4%Census
202022,112—Census
202521,229▼ -4.0%Census
203019,926▼ -9.9%Projection
203518,866▼ -14.7%Projection
204017,853▼ -19.3%Projection
204516,850▼ -23.8%Projection
205015,895▼ -28.1%Projection

About Bungotakada

Overview

Bungotakada (豊後高田市) is a municipality in Oita, Japan, with a population of 21,229 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Bungotakada

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Bungotakada's population is expected to reach 19,926 by 2030 (-9.9%), 17,853 by 2040 (-19.3%), and 15,895 by 2050 (-28.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Bungotakada

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 38.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 42.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Bungotakada's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1118 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1090 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1054 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Oita

Earnings in Oita (大分県): Average salary in Oita (大分県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Bungotakada, Oita?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Bungotakada has a population of 21,229.
Q.What is the population of Bungotakada in 2026?
A.Bungotakada's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 20,968. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (21,229) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (19,926).
Q.What is the projected population of Bungotakada in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Bungotakada's population is expected to be 19,926 in 2030, 17,853 in 2040, and 15,895 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Bungotakada?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Bungotakada's population is projected to change by -28.1%. The 10-year change is -9.9% and the 20-year change is -19.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Bungotakada declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Bungotakada, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 38.8% to 42.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Bungotakada?
A.Bungotakada's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 38.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 42.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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