Japan Population Decline Simulator

Oita大分県

Kokonoe 九重町

Data last updated:

Kokonoe, Oita, Japan has a population of 7,501 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 6,867 by 2030 and 4,159 by 2050 (a decrease of about 51.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 45.2% in 2020 to 53.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

7,501

2030

(Projection)

6,867

▼ -19.6%

2040

(Projection)

5,417

▼ -36.6%

2050

(Projection)

4,159

▼ -51.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 45.2%→2050 53.3%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kokonoe Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198014,407▲ +68.7%Census
198513,672▲ +60.1%Census
199012,848▲ +50.4%Census
199512,022▲ +40.8%Census
200011,566▲ +35.4%Census
200511,108▲ +30.1%Census
201010,421▲ +22.0%Census
20159,645▲ +12.9%Census
20208,541—Census
20257,501▼ -12.2%Census
20306,867▼ -19.6%Projection
20356,109▼ -28.5%Projection
20405,417▼ -36.6%Projection
20454,758▼ -44.3%Projection
20504,159▼ -51.3%Projection

About Kokonoe

Overview

Kokonoe (九重町) is a municipality in Oita, Japan, with a population of 7,501 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kokonoe

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kokonoe's population is expected to reach 6,867 by 2030 (-19.6%), 5,417 by 2040 (-36.6%), and 4,159 by 2050 (-51.3%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Kokonoe

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 45.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 53.3% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Kokonoe is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #287 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #355 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1449 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Oita

Earnings in Oita (大分県): Average salary in Oita (大分県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kokonoe, Oita?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kokonoe has a population of 7,501.
Q.What is the population of Kokonoe in 2026?
A.Kokonoe's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 7,374. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (7,501) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (6,867).
Q.What is the projected population of Kokonoe in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kokonoe's population is expected to be 6,867 in 2030, 5,417 in 2040, and 4,159 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kokonoe?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kokonoe's population is projected to change by -51.3%. The 10-year change is -19.6% and the 20-year change is -36.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Kokonoe declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kokonoe, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 45.2% to 53.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kokonoe?
A.Kokonoe's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 45.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 53.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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