Japan Population Decline Simulator

Oita大分県

Kunisaki 国東市

Data last updated:

Kunisaki, Oita, Japan has a population of 23,658 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 21,702 by 2030 and 14,119 by 2050 (a decrease of about 46.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 43.2% in 2020 to 53.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

23,658

2030

(Projection)

21,702

▼ -17.3%

2040

(Projection)

17,733

▼ -32.4%

2050

(Projection)

14,119

▼ -46.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 43.2%→2050 53.7%

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Other municipalities in Oita (大分県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kunisaki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198040,504▲ +54.4%Census
198539,784▲ +51.7%Census
199037,771▲ +44.0%Census
199536,253▲ +38.2%Census
200035,425▲ +35.0%Census
200534,206▲ +30.4%Census
201032,002▲ +22.0%Census
201528,647▲ +9.2%Census
202026,232—Census
202523,658▼ -9.8%Census
203021,702▼ -17.3%Projection
203519,657▼ -25.1%Projection
204017,733▼ -32.4%Projection
204515,859▼ -39.5%Projection
205014,119▼ -46.2%Projection

About Kunisaki

Overview

Kunisaki (国東市) is a municipality in Oita, Japan, with a population of 23,658 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kunisaki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kunisaki's population is expected to reach 21,702 by 2030 (-17.3%), 17,733 by 2040 (-32.4%), and 14,119 by 2050 (-46.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Kunisaki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 43.2% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 53.7% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Kunisaki is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #483 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #338 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1013 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Oita

Earnings in Oita (大分県): Average salary in Oita (大分県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kunisaki, Oita?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kunisaki has a population of 23,658.
Q.What is the population of Kunisaki in 2026?
A.Kunisaki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 23,267. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (23,658) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (21,702).
Q.What is the projected population of Kunisaki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kunisaki's population is expected to be 21,702 in 2030, 17,733 in 2040, and 14,119 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kunisaki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kunisaki's population is projected to change by -46.2%. The 10-year change is -17.3% and the 20-year change is -32.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Kunisaki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kunisaki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 43.2% to 53.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kunisaki?
A.Kunisaki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 43.2% as of 2020, projected to rise to 53.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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