Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamagata山形県

Mikawa 三川町

Data last updated:

Mikawa, Yamagata, Japan has a population of 7,145 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 7,074 by 2030 and 5,848 by 2050 (a decrease of about 23.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 35.1% in 2020 to 40.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

7,145

2030

(Projection)

7,074

▼ -6.9%

2040

(Projection)

6,503

▼ -14.4%

2050

(Projection)

5,848

▼ -23.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 35.1%→2050 40.9%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Mikawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19808,479▲ +11.6%Census
19858,511▲ +12.0%Census
19908,263▲ +8.7%Census
19958,188▲ +7.7%Census
20007,879▲ +3.7%Census
20058,003▲ +5.3%Census
20107,731▲ +1.7%Census
20157,728▲ +1.7%Census
20207,601—Census
20257,145▼ -6.0%Census
20307,074▼ -6.9%Projection
20356,797▼ -10.6%Projection
20406,503▼ -14.4%Projection
20456,180▼ -18.7%Projection
20505,848▼ -23.1%Projection

About Mikawa

Overview

Mikawa (三川町) is a municipality in Yamagata, Japan, with a population of 7,145 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Mikawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Mikawa's population is expected to reach 7,074 by 2030 (-6.9%), 6,503 by 2040 (-14.4%), and 5,848 by 2050 (-23.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Mikawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 35.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 40.9% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Mikawa's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1255 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1175 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1465 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamagata

Earnings in Yamagata (山形県): Average salary in Yamagata (山形県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Mikawa, Yamagata?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Mikawa has a population of 7,145.
Q.What is the population of Mikawa in 2026?
A.Mikawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 7,131. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (7,145) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (7,074).
Q.What is the projected population of Mikawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Mikawa's population is expected to be 7,074 in 2030, 6,503 in 2040, and 5,848 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Mikawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Mikawa's population is projected to change by -23.1%. The 10-year change is -6.9% and the 20-year change is -14.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Mikawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Mikawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 35.1% to 40.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Mikawa?
A.Mikawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 35.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 40.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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