Japan Population Decline Simulator

Tochigi栃木県

Shioya 塩谷町

Data last updated:

Shioya, Tochigi, Japan has a population of 10,366 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 8,119 by 2030 and 4,587 by 2050 (a decrease of about 55.7% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 40.1% to 60.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2020

(Census)

10,366

2030

(Projection)

8,119

-21.7%

2040

(Projection)

6,243

-39.8%

2050

(Projection)

4,587

-55.7%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 40.1%2050 60.7%

Other municipalities in Tochigi (栃木県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Shioya Population Projection Table (2020–2050)

Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
202010,366Census
20259,132▼ -11.9%Projection
20308,119▼ -21.7%Projection
20357,150▼ -31.0%Projection
20406,243▼ -39.8%Projection
20455,379▼ -48.1%Projection
20504,587▼ -55.7%Projection

About Shioya

Overview

Shioya (塩谷町) is a municipality in Tochigi, Japan, with a population of 10,366 as of 2020.

Population Projection of Shioya

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shioya's population is expected to reach 8,119 by 2030 (-21.7%), 6,243 by 2040 (-39.8%), and 4,587 by 2050 (-55.7%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Shioya

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 40.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 60.7% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Shioya is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #150 out of 1916 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #86 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1368 out of 1916 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Tochigi

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Shioya, Tochigi?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Shioya has a population of 10,366.
Q.What is the population of Shioya in 2026?
A.Shioya's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 8,929. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2020 census (10,366) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (8,119).
Q.What is the projected population of Shioya in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Shioya's population is expected to be 8,119 in 2030, 6,243 in 2040, and 4,587 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Shioya?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Shioya's population is projected to change by -55.7%. The 10-year change is -21.7% and the 20-year change is -39.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Shioya declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Shioya, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 40.1% to 60.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Shioya?
A.Shioya's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 40.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 60.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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