Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nagano長野県

Miyota 御代田町

Data last updated:

Miyota, Nagano, Japan has a population of 16,546 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 16,144 by 2030 and 15,374 by 2050 (a decrease of about 1.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.1% in 2020 to 41.5%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

16,546

2030

(Projection)

16,144

▲ +3.8%

2040

(Projection)

15,929

▲ +2.4%

2050

(Projection)

15,374

▼ -1.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28.1%→2050 41.5%

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Other municipalities in Nagano (長野県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Miyota Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19809,851▼ -36.7%Census
198511,260▼ -27.6%Census
199011,895▼ -23.5%Census
199512,573▼ -19.2%Census
200013,412▼ -13.8%Census
200514,124▼ -9.2%Census
201014,738▼ -5.3%Census
201515,184▼ -2.4%Census
202015,555—Census
202516,546▲ +6.4%Census
203016,144▲ +3.8%Projection
203516,103▲ +3.5%Projection
204015,929▲ +2.4%Projection
204515,677▲ +0.8%Projection
205015,374▼ -1.2%Projection

About Miyota

Overview

Miyota (御代田町) is a municipality in Nagano, Japan, with a population of 16,546 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Miyota

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Miyota's population is expected to reach 16,144 by 2030 (+3.8%), 15,929 by 2040 (+2.4%), and 15,374 by 2050 (-1.2%). A modest population change is expected.

Aging Rate of Miyota

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 41.5% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Miyota's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1782 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1135 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1146 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagano

Earnings in Nagano (長野県): Average salary in Nagano (長野県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Miyota, Nagano?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Miyota has a population of 16,546.
Q.What is the population of Miyota in 2026?
A.Miyota's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 16,466. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (16,546) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (16,144).
Q.What is the projected population of Miyota in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Miyota's population is expected to be 16,144 in 2030, 15,929 in 2040, and 15,374 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Miyota?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Miyota's population is projected to change by -1.2%. The 10-year change is +3.8% and the 20-year change is +2.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Miyota declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Miyota, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.1% to 41.5% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Miyota?
A.Miyota's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 41.5% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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