Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nagano長野県

Minamiminowa 南箕輪村

Data last updated:

Minamiminowa, Nagano, Japan has a population of 15,993 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 16,419 by 2030 and 15,882 by 2050 (an increase of about 0.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 23.5% in 2020 to 32.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

15,993

2030

(Projection)

16,419

▲ +3.9%

2040

(Projection)

16,384

▲ +3.7%

2050

(Projection)

15,882

▲ +0.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 23.5%→2050 32.2%

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Other municipalities in Nagano (長野県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Minamiminowa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19808,877▼ -43.8%Census
19859,910▼ -37.3%Census
199010,666▼ -32.5%Census
199512,133▼ -23.2%Census
200013,404▼ -15.1%Census
200513,620▼ -13.8%Census
201014,543▼ -7.9%Census
201515,063▼ -4.6%Census
202015,797—Census
202515,993▲ +1.2%Census
203016,419▲ +3.9%Projection
203516,464▲ +4.2%Projection
204016,384▲ +3.7%Projection
204516,180▲ +2.4%Projection
205015,882▲ +0.5%Projection

About Minamiminowa

Overview

Minamiminowa (南箕輪村) is a municipality in Nagano, Japan, with a population of 15,993 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Minamiminowa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Minamiminowa's population is expected to reach 16,419 by 2030 (+3.9%), 16,384 by 2040 (+3.7%), and 15,882 by 2050 (+0.5%). Minamiminowa is among the rare Japanese municipalities projected to see population growth.

Aging Rate of Minamiminowa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 23.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 32.2% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Minamiminowa's demographic trajectory is similar to the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1800 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1762 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1158 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagano

Earnings in Nagano (長野県): Average salary in Nagano (長野県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Minamiminowa, Nagano?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Minamiminowa has a population of 15,993.
Q.What is the population of Minamiminowa in 2026?
A.Minamiminowa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 16,078. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (15,993) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (16,419).
Q.What is the projected population of Minamiminowa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Minamiminowa's population is expected to be 16,419 in 2030, 16,384 in 2040, and 15,882 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Minamiminowa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Minamiminowa's population is projected to change by +0.5%. The 10-year change is +3.9% and the 20-year change is +3.7%.
Q.Why is the population of Minamiminowa growing?
A.Municipalities with growing populations typically benefit from net in-migration driven by good access to major metropolitan areas, housing development, and family support policies. Minamiminowa is one of the minority of Japanese municipalities projected to grow through 2050.
Q.What is the aging rate of Minamiminowa?
A.Minamiminowa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 23.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 32.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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