Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nagano長野県

Aoki 青木村

Data last updated:

Aoki, Nagano, Japan has a population of 3,778 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,717 by 2030 and 2,923 by 2050 (a decrease of about 29.1% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 39.4% in 2020 to 46.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

3,778

2030

(Projection)

3,717

▼ -9.8%

2040

(Projection)

3,313

▼ -19.6%

2050

(Projection)

2,923

▼ -29.1%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 39.4%→2050 46.7%

Enter your age

See the population of 青木村 when you turn 50, 60, 70 and 80.

years old

Other municipalities in Nagano (長野県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Aoki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19805,245▲ +27.3%Census
19855,156▲ +25.1%Census
19905,004▲ +21.4%Census
19955,003▲ +21.4%Census
20004,937▲ +19.8%Census
20054,774▲ +15.8%Census
20104,609▲ +11.8%Census
20154,343▲ +5.4%Census
20204,121—Census
20253,778▼ -8.3%Census
20303,717▼ -9.8%Projection
20353,519▼ -14.6%Projection
20403,313▼ -19.6%Projection
20453,114▼ -24.4%Projection
20502,923▼ -29.1%Projection

About Aoki

Overview

Aoki (青木村) is a municipality in Nagano, Japan, with a population of 3,778 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Aoki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Aoki's population is expected to reach 3,717 by 2030 (-9.8%), 3,313 by 2040 (-19.6%), and 2,923 by 2050 (-29.1%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Aoki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 39.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 46.7% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Aoki's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1086 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #772 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1671 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagano

Earnings in Nagano (長野県): Average salary in Nagano (長野県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Aoki, Nagano?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Aoki has a population of 3,778.
Q.What is the population of Aoki in 2026?
A.Aoki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 3,766. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (3,778) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,717).
Q.What is the projected population of Aoki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Aoki's population is expected to be 3,717 in 2030, 3,313 in 2040, and 2,923 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Aoki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Aoki's population is projected to change by -29.1%. The 10-year change is -9.8% and the 20-year change is -19.6%.
Q.Why is the population of Aoki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Aoki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 39.4% to 46.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Aoki?
A.Aoki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 39.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 46.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

Similar-Sized Municipalities in Nagano

Municipalities with Similar Trends

Share this page