Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nagano長野県

Agematsu 上松町

Data last updated:

Agematsu, Nagano, Japan has a population of 3,647 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,252 by 2030 and 1,990 by 2050 (a decrease of about 51.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 42.4% in 2020 to 56.8%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

3,647

2030

(Projection)

3,252

▼ -21.3%

2040

(Projection)

2,603

▼ -37.0%

2050

(Projection)

1,990

▼ -51.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 42.4%→2050 56.8%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Agematsu Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19807,654▲ +85.3%Census
19857,370▲ +78.4%Census
19906,997▲ +69.4%Census
19956,641▲ +60.8%Census
20006,376▲ +54.3%Census
20055,770▲ +39.7%Census
20105,245▲ +27.0%Census
20154,670▲ +13.0%Census
20204,131—Census
20253,647▼ -11.7%Census
20303,252▼ -21.3%Projection
20352,923▼ -29.2%Projection
20402,603▼ -37.0%Projection
20452,284▼ -44.7%Projection
20501,990▼ -51.8%Projection

About Agematsu

Overview

Agematsu (上松町) is a municipality in Nagano, Japan, with a population of 3,647 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Agematsu

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Agematsu's population is expected to reach 3,252 by 2030 (-21.3%), 2,603 by 2040 (-37.0%), and 1,990 by 2050 (-51.8%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Agematsu

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 42.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 56.8% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Agematsu is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #271 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #208 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1682 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nagano

Earnings in Nagano (長野県): Average salary in Nagano (長野県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Agematsu, Nagano?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Agematsu has a population of 3,647.
Q.What is the population of Agematsu in 2026?
A.Agematsu's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 3,568. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (3,647) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,252).
Q.What is the projected population of Agematsu in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Agematsu's population is expected to be 3,252 in 2030, 2,603 in 2040, and 1,990 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Agematsu?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Agematsu's population is projected to change by -51.8%. The 10-year change is -21.3% and the 20-year change is -37.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Agematsu declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Agematsu, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 42.4% to 56.8% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Agematsu?
A.Agematsu's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 42.4% as of 2020, projected to rise to 56.8% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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