Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Kikonai 木古内町

Data last updated:

2020

(Census)

3,836

2030

(Projection)

2,822

-26.4%

2040

(Projection)

1,966

-48.7%

2050

(Projection)

1,295

-66.2%

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 49.8%2050 64.6%

Other municipalities in Hokkaido (北海道)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)https://www.e-stat.go.jp/
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

About Kikonai

Overview

Kikonai (木古内町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 3,836 as of 2020.

Population Projection

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kikonai's population is expected to reach 2,822 by 2030 (-26.4%), 1,966 by 2040 (-48.7%), and 1,295 by 2050 (-66.2%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Outlook

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 49.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 64.6% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Kikonai is among the most rapidly declining municipalities in Japan.

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kikonai, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2020 national census, Kikonai has a population of 3,836.
Q.What is the projected population of Kikonai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kikonai's population is expected to be 2,822 in 2030, 1,966 in 2040, and 1,295 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kikonai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kikonai's population is projected to change by -66.2%. The 10-year change is -26.4% and the 20-year change is -48.7%.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kikonai?
A.Kikonai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 49.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 64.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses the 2020 national census results. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition. Data will be updated as new census results become available.

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