Hokkaido北海道
Otobe 乙部町
Data last updated:
Otobe, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 2,937 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 2,543 by 2030 and 1,301 by 2050 (a decrease of about 61.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 45.6% in 2020 to 58.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)
2025
(Census)
2,937
2030
(Projection)
2,543
▼ -25.3%
2040
(Projection)
1,846
▼ -45.8%
2050
(Projection)
1,301
▼ -61.8%
Change vs. 2020 census
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Data Sources
- Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
- National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)
* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.
Otobe Population Table (1980–2050)
Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.
| Year | Population | vs 2020 | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | 7,031 | ▲ +106.6% | Census |
| 1985 | 6,719 | ▲ +97.4% | Census |
| 1990 | 6,011 | ▲ +76.6% | Census |
| 1995 | 5,422 | ▲ +59.3% | Census |
| 2000 | 5,143 | ▲ +51.1% | Census |
| 2005 | 4,816 | ▲ +41.5% | Census |
| 2010 | 4,408 | ▲ +29.5% | Census |
| 2015 | 3,906 | ▲ +14.8% | Census |
| 2020 | 3,403 | — | Census |
| 2025 | 2,937 | ▼ -13.7% | Census |
| 2030 | 2,543 | ▼ -25.3% | Projection |
| 2035 | 2,174 | ▼ -36.1% | Projection |
| 2040 | 1,846 | ▼ -45.8% | Projection |
| 2045 | 1,558 | ▼ -54.2% | Projection |
| 2050 | 1,301 | ▼ -61.8% | Projection |
About Otobe
Overview
Otobe (乙部町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 2,937 as of 2025.
Population Projection of Otobe
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Otobe's population is expected to reach 2,543 by 2030 (-25.3%), 1,846 by 2040 (-45.8%), and 1,301 by 2050 (-61.8%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.
Aging Rate of Otobe
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 45.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 58.0% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.
National Comparison
Otobe is among the most rapidly declining municipalities in Japan.
National and Prefectural Rank
- Population decline rate: Ranked #48 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
- Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #168 out of 1903 nationwide.
- Population size: Ranked #1729 out of 1917 nationwide.
- Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido
Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure