Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Shari 斜里町

Data last updated:

Shari, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 10,671 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 9,516 by 2030 and 6,946 by 2050 (a decrease of about 39.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 33.6% in 2020 to 38.3%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

10,671

2030

(Projection)

9,516

▼ -16.7%

2040

(Projection)

8,171

▼ -28.4%

2050

(Projection)

6,946

▼ -39.2%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 33.6%→2050 38.3%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Shari Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198015,795▲ +38.3%Census
198515,955▲ +39.7%Census
199015,182▲ +33.0%Census
199514,634▲ +28.2%Census
200014,066▲ +23.2%Census
200513,431▲ +17.6%Census
201013,045▲ +14.2%Census
201512,231▲ +7.1%Census
202011,418—Census
202510,671▼ -6.5%Census
20309,516▼ -16.7%Projection
20358,820▼ -22.8%Projection
20408,171▼ -28.4%Projection
20457,548▼ -33.9%Projection
20506,946▼ -39.2%Projection

About Shari

Overview

Shari (斜里町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 10,671 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Shari

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shari's population is expected to reach 9,516 by 2030 (-16.7%), 8,171 by 2040 (-28.4%), and 6,946 by 2050 (-39.2%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Shari

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 33.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 38.3% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Shari's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #745 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1386 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1322 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Shari, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Shari has a population of 10,671.
Q.What is the population of Shari in 2026?
A.Shari's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 10,440. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (10,671) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (9,516).
Q.What is the projected population of Shari in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Shari's population is expected to be 9,516 in 2030, 8,171 in 2040, and 6,946 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Shari?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Shari's population is projected to change by -39.2%. The 10-year change is -16.7% and the 20-year change is -28.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Shari declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Shari, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 33.6% to 38.3% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Shari?
A.Shari's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 33.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 38.3% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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