Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Toyoura 豊浦町

Data last updated:

Toyoura, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 3,404 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 3,286 by 2030 and 2,297 by 2050 (a decrease of about 39.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 39.6% in 2020 to 53.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

3,404

2030

(Projection)

3,286

▼ -14.0%

2040

(Projection)

2,790

▼ -27.0%

2050

(Projection)

2,297

▼ -39.9%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 39.6%→2050 53.2%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Toyoura Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19806,424▲ +68.1%Census
19856,112▲ +60.0%Census
19905,790▲ +51.5%Census
19956,121▲ +60.2%Census
20005,286▲ +38.3%Census
20054,771▲ +24.9%Census
20104,528▲ +18.5%Census
20154,291▲ +12.3%Census
20203,821—Census
20253,404▼ -10.9%Census
20303,286▼ -14.0%Projection
20353,040▼ -20.4%Projection
20402,790▼ -27.0%Projection
20452,542▼ -33.5%Projection
20502,297▼ -39.9%Projection

About Toyoura

Overview

Toyoura (豊浦町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 3,404 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Toyoura

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Toyoura's population is expected to reach 3,286 by 2030 (-14.0%), 2,790 by 2040 (-27.0%), and 2,297 by 2050 (-39.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Toyoura

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 39.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 53.2% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Toyoura's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #720 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #356 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1700 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Toyoura, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Toyoura has a population of 3,404.
Q.What is the population of Toyoura in 2026?
A.Toyoura's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 3,380. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (3,404) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (3,286).
Q.What is the projected population of Toyoura in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Toyoura's population is expected to be 3,286 in 2030, 2,790 in 2040, and 2,297 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Toyoura?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Toyoura's population is projected to change by -39.9%. The 10-year change is -14.0% and the 20-year change is -27.0%.
Q.Why is the population of Toyoura declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Toyoura, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 39.6% to 53.2% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Toyoura?
A.Toyoura's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 39.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 53.2% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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