Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Memuro 芽室町

Data last updated:

Memuro, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 17,212 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 16,624 by 2030 and 13,658 by 2050 (a decrease of about 24.3% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 30.7% in 2020 to 44.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

17,212

2030

(Projection)

16,624

▼ -7.9%

2040

(Projection)

15,247

▼ -15.5%

2050

(Projection)

13,658

▼ -24.3%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 30.7%→2050 44.1%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Memuro Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198016,580▼ -8.1%Census
198516,731▼ -7.3%Census
199016,577▼ -8.2%Census
199516,604▼ -8.0%Census
200017,586▼ -2.6%Census
200518,300▲ +1.4%Census
201018,905▲ +4.7%Census
201518,484▲ +2.4%Census
202018,048—Census
202517,212▼ -4.6%Census
203016,624▼ -7.9%Projection
203515,936▼ -11.7%Projection
204015,247▼ -15.5%Projection
204514,494▼ -19.7%Projection
205013,658▼ -24.3%Projection

About Memuro

Overview

Memuro (芽室町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 17,212 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Memuro

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Memuro's population is expected to reach 16,624 by 2030 (-7.9%), 15,247 by 2040 (-15.5%), and 13,658 by 2050 (-24.3%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Memuro

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 30.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.1% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Memuro's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1228 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #936 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1132 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Memuro, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Memuro has a population of 17,212.
Q.What is the population of Memuro in 2026?
A.Memuro's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 17,094. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (17,212) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (16,624).
Q.What is the projected population of Memuro in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Memuro's population is expected to be 16,624 in 2030, 15,247 in 2040, and 13,658 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Memuro?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Memuro's population is projected to change by -24.3%. The 10-year change is -7.9% and the 20-year change is -15.5%.
Q.Why is the population of Memuro declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Memuro, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 30.7% to 44.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Memuro?
A.Memuro's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 30.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 44.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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