Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Taiki 大樹町

Data last updated:

Taiki, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 5,124 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 4,612 by 2030 and 3,308 by 2050 (a decrease of about 39.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 36.6% in 2020 to 38.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

5,124

2030

(Projection)

4,612

▼ -14.9%

2040

(Projection)

3,946

▼ -27.2%

2050

(Projection)

3,308

▼ -39.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 36.6%→2050 38.6%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Taiki Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19808,356▲ +54.2%Census
19858,118▲ +49.8%Census
19907,483▲ +38.1%Census
19957,075▲ +30.5%Census
20006,711▲ +23.8%Census
20056,407▲ +18.2%Census
20105,977▲ +10.3%Census
20155,738▲ +5.9%Census
20205,420—Census
20255,124▼ -5.5%Census
20304,612▼ -14.9%Projection
20354,273▼ -21.2%Projection
20403,946▼ -27.2%Projection
20453,611▼ -33.4%Projection
20503,308▼ -39.0%Projection

About Taiki

Overview

Taiki (大樹町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 5,124 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Taiki

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Taiki's population is expected to reach 4,612 by 2030 (-14.9%), 3,946 by 2040 (-27.2%), and 3,308 by 2050 (-39.0%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Taiki

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 36.6% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 38.6% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Taiki's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #755 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1368 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1592 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Taiki, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Taiki has a population of 5,124.
Q.What is the population of Taiki in 2026?
A.Taiki's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 5,022. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (5,124) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (4,612).
Q.What is the projected population of Taiki in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Taiki's population is expected to be 4,612 in 2030, 3,946 in 2040, and 3,308 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Taiki?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Taiki's population is projected to change by -39.0%. The 10-year change is -14.9% and the 20-year change is -27.2%.
Q.Why is the population of Taiki declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Taiki, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 36.6% to 38.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Taiki?
A.Taiki's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 36.6% as of 2020, projected to rise to 38.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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