Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamanashi山梨県

Narusawa 鳴沢村

Data last updated:

Narusawa, Yamanashi, Japan has a population of 2,760 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 2,665 by 2030 and 2,207 by 2050 (a decrease of about 21.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 34.7% in 2020 to 49.7%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

2,760

2030

(Projection)

2,665

▼ -5.6%

2040

(Projection)

2,453

▼ -13.1%

2050

(Projection)

2,207

▼ -21.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 34.7%→2050 49.7%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Narusawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19802,249▼ -20.4%Census
19852,455▼ -13.1%Census
19902,650▼ -6.2%Census
19952,784▼ -1.4%Census
20002,864▲ +1.4%Census
20052,958▲ +4.7%Census
20102,964▲ +5.0%Census
20152,921▲ +3.4%Census
20202,824—Census
20252,760▼ -2.3%Census
20302,665▼ -5.6%Projection
20352,562▼ -9.3%Projection
20402,453▼ -13.1%Projection
20452,333▼ -17.4%Projection
20502,207▼ -21.8%Projection

About Narusawa

Overview

Narusawa (鳴沢村) is a municipality in Yamanashi, Japan, with a population of 2,760 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Narusawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Narusawa's population is expected to reach 2,665 by 2030 (-5.6%), 2,453 by 2040 (-13.1%), and 2,207 by 2050 (-21.8%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Narusawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 34.7% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 49.7% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Narusawa's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1306 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #584 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1743 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamanashi

Earnings in Yamanashi (山梨県): Average salary in Yamanashi (山梨県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Narusawa, Yamanashi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Narusawa has a population of 2,760.
Q.What is the population of Narusawa in 2026?
A.Narusawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 2,741. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (2,760) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (2,665).
Q.What is the projected population of Narusawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Narusawa's population is expected to be 2,665 in 2030, 2,453 in 2040, and 2,207 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Narusawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Narusawa's population is projected to change by -21.8%. The 10-year change is -5.6% and the 20-year change is -13.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Narusawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Narusawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 34.7% to 49.7% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Narusawa?
A.Narusawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 34.7% as of 2020, projected to rise to 49.7% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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