Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamanashi山梨県

Tabayama 丹波山村

Data last updated:

Tabayama, Yamanashi, Japan has a population of 512 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 418 by 2030 and 321 by 2050 (a decrease of about 39.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 44.5% in 2020 to 36.1%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

512

2030

(Projection)

418

▼ -21.1%

2040

(Projection)

363

▼ -31.5%

2050

(Projection)

321

▼ -39.4%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 44.5%→2050 36.1%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Tabayama Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19801,197▲ +125.8%Census
19851,149▲ +116.8%Census
19901,037▲ +95.7%Census
1995981▲ +85.1%Census
2000866▲ +63.4%Census
2005780▲ +47.2%Census
2010685▲ +29.2%Census
2015563▲ +6.2%Census
2020530—Census
2025512▼ -3.4%Census
2030418▼ -21.1%Projection
2035392▼ -26.0%Projection
2040363▼ -31.5%Projection
2045344▼ -35.1%Projection
2050321▼ -39.4%Projection

About Tabayama

Overview

Tabayama (丹波山村) is a municipality in Yamanashi, Japan, with a population of 512 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Tabayama

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tabayama's population is expected to reach 418 by 2030 (-21.1%), 363 by 2040 (-31.5%), and 321 by 2050 (-39.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Tabayama

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 44.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 36.1% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Tabayama's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #742 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1543 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1902 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamanashi

Earnings in Yamanashi (山梨県): Average salary in Yamanashi (山梨県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Tabayama, Yamanashi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Tabayama has a population of 512.
Q.What is the population of Tabayama in 2026?
A.Tabayama's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 493. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (512) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (418).
Q.What is the projected population of Tabayama in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Tabayama's population is expected to be 418 in 2030, 363 in 2040, and 321 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Tabayama?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Tabayama's population is projected to change by -39.4%. The 10-year change is -21.1% and the 20-year change is -31.5%.
Q.Why is the population of Tabayama declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Tabayama, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 44.5% to 36.1% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Tabayama?
A.Tabayama's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 44.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 36.1% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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