Japan Population Decline Simulator

Yamanashi山梨県

Kosuge 小菅村

Data last updated:

Kosuge, Yamanashi, Japan has a population of 603 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 506 by 2030 and 328 by 2050 (a decrease of about 52.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 45.3% in 2020 to 41.5%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

603

2030

(Projection)

506

▼ -26.0%

2040

(Projection)

401

▼ -41.4%

2050

(Projection)

328

▼ -52.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 45.3%→2050 41.5%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kosuge Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19801,284▲ +87.7%Census
19851,227▲ +79.4%Census
19901,177▲ +72.1%Census
19951,123▲ +64.2%Census
20001,084▲ +58.5%Census
20051,018▲ +48.8%Census
2010816▲ +19.3%Census
2015726▲ +6.1%Census
2020684—Census
2025603▼ -11.8%Census
2030506▼ -26.0%Projection
2035449▼ -34.4%Projection
2040401▼ -41.4%Projection
2045362▼ -47.1%Projection
2050328▼ -52.0%Projection

About Kosuge

Overview

Kosuge (小菅村) is a municipality in Yamanashi, Japan, with a population of 603 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kosuge

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kosuge's population is expected to reach 506 by 2030 (-26.0%), 401 by 2040 (-41.4%), and 328 by 2050 (-52.0%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Kosuge

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 45.3% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 41.5% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Kosuge is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #265 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1134 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1897 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Yamanashi

Earnings in Yamanashi (山梨県): Average salary in Yamanashi (山梨県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kosuge, Yamanashi?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kosuge has a population of 603.
Q.What is the population of Kosuge in 2026?
A.Kosuge's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 584. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (603) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (506).
Q.What is the projected population of Kosuge in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kosuge's population is expected to be 506 in 2030, 401 in 2040, and 328 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kosuge?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kosuge's population is projected to change by -52.0%. The 10-year change is -26.0% and the 20-year change is -41.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Kosuge declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kosuge, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 45.3% to 41.5% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kosuge?
A.Kosuge's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 45.3% as of 2020, projected to rise to 41.5% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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