Hokkaido北海道
Noboribetsu 登別市
Data last updated:
Noboribetsu, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 41,947 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 39,150 by 2030 and 26,963 by 2050 (a decrease of about 41.9% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 37.4% in 2020 to 47.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)
2025
(Census)
41,947
2030
(Projection)
39,150
▼ -15.6%
2040
(Projection)
32,770
▼ -29.4%
2050
(Projection)
26,963
▼ -41.9%
Change vs. 2020 census
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Other municipalities in Hokkaido (北海道)
Data Sources
- Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
- National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)
* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.
Noboribetsu Population Table (1980–2050)
Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.
| Year | Population | vs 2020 | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | 56,503 | ▲ +21.8% | Census |
| 1985 | 58,370 | ▲ +25.8% | Census |
| 1990 | 55,571 | ▲ +19.8% | Census |
| 1995 | 56,892 | ▲ +22.6% | Census |
| 2000 | 54,761 | ▲ +18.0% | Census |
| 2005 | 53,135 | ▲ +14.5% | Census |
| 2010 | 51,526 | ▲ +11.1% | Census |
| 2015 | 49,625 | ▲ +7.0% | Census |
| 2020 | 46,391 | — | Census |
| 2025 | 41,947 | ▼ -9.6% | Census |
| 2030 | 39,150 | ▼ -15.6% | Projection |
| 2035 | 35,962 | ▼ -22.5% | Projection |
| 2040 | 32,770 | ▼ -29.4% | Projection |
| 2045 | 29,748 | ▼ -35.9% | Projection |
| 2050 | 26,963 | ▼ -41.9% | Projection |
About Noboribetsu
Overview
Noboribetsu (登別市) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 41,947 as of 2025.
Population Projection of Noboribetsu
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Noboribetsu's population is expected to reach 39,150 by 2030 (-15.6%), 32,770 by 2040 (-29.4%), and 26,963 by 2050 (-41.9%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.
Aging Rate of Noboribetsu
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 37.4% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 47.2% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.
National Comparison
Noboribetsu is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.
National and Prefectural Rank
- Population decline rate: Ranked #654 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
- Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #737 out of 1903 nationwide.
- Population size: Ranked #757 out of 1917 nationwide.
- Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido
Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure