Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Ishikari 石狩市

Data last updated:

Ishikari, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 55,706 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 52,994 by 2030 and 42,365 by 2050 (a decrease of about 25.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 34.1% in 2020 to 43.9%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

55,706

2030

(Projection)

52,994

▼ -6.8%

2040

(Projection)

47,589

▼ -16.3%

2050

(Projection)

42,365

▼ -25.5%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 34.1%→2050 43.9%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Ishikari Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198040,783▼ -28.3%Census
198548,015▼ -15.6%Census
199053,143▼ -6.6%Census
199557,706▲ +1.5%Census
200059,734▲ +5.0%Census
200560,104▲ +5.7%Census
201059,449▲ +4.5%Census
201557,436▲ +1.0%Census
202056,869—Census
202555,706▼ -2.0%Census
203052,994▼ -6.8%Projection
203550,375▼ -11.4%Projection
204047,589▼ -16.3%Projection
204544,865▼ -21.1%Projection
205042,365▼ -25.5%Projection

About Ishikari

Overview

Ishikari (石狩市) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 55,706 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Ishikari

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Ishikari's population is expected to reach 52,994 by 2030 (-6.8%), 47,589 by 2040 (-16.3%), and 42,365 by 2050 (-25.5%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Ishikari

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 34.1% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 43.9% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Ishikari's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #1191 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #955 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #637 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Ishikari, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Ishikari has a population of 55,706.
Q.What is the population of Ishikari in 2026?
A.Ishikari's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 55,164. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (55,706) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (52,994).
Q.What is the projected population of Ishikari in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Ishikari's population is expected to be 52,994 in 2030, 47,589 in 2040, and 42,365 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Ishikari?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Ishikari's population is projected to change by -25.5%. The 10-year change is -6.8% and the 20-year change is -16.3%.
Q.Why is the population of Ishikari declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Ishikari, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 34.1% to 43.9% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Ishikari?
A.Ishikari's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 34.1% as of 2020, projected to rise to 43.9% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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