Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Urakawa 浦河町

Data last updated:

Urakawa, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 11,110 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 10,067 by 2030 and 6,515 by 2050 (a decrease of about 46.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 33.9% in 2020 to 46.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

11,110

2030

(Projection)

10,067

▼ -16.6%

2040

(Projection)

8,232

▼ -31.8%

2050

(Projection)

6,515

▼ -46.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 33.9%→2050 46%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Urakawa Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198019,408▲ +60.7%Census
198518,808▲ +55.8%Census
199017,862▲ +47.9%Census
199517,186▲ +42.3%Census
200016,634▲ +37.8%Census
200515,698▲ +30.0%Census
201014,389▲ +19.2%Census
201513,075▲ +8.3%Census
202012,074—Census
202511,110▼ -8.0%Census
203010,067▼ -16.6%Projection
20359,136▼ -24.3%Projection
20408,232▼ -31.8%Projection
20457,354▼ -39.1%Projection
20506,515▼ -46.0%Projection

About Urakawa

Overview

Urakawa (浦河町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 11,110 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Urakawa

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Urakawa's population is expected to reach 10,067 by 2030 (-16.6%), 8,232 by 2040 (-31.8%), and 6,515 by 2050 (-46.0%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Urakawa

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 33.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 46.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.

National Comparison

Urakawa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #486 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #824 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1310 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Urakawa, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Urakawa has a population of 11,110.
Q.What is the population of Urakawa in 2026?
A.Urakawa's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 10,901. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (11,110) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (10,067).
Q.What is the projected population of Urakawa in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Urakawa's population is expected to be 10,067 in 2030, 8,232 in 2040, and 6,515 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Urakawa?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Urakawa's population is projected to change by -46.0%. The 10-year change is -16.6% and the 20-year change is -31.8%.
Q.Why is the population of Urakawa declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Urakawa, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 33.9% to 46.0% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Urakawa?
A.Urakawa's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 33.9% as of 2020, projected to rise to 46.0% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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