Hokkaido北海道
Shintoku 新得町
Data last updated:
Shintoku, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 5,223 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 4,928 by 2030 and 3,411 by 2050 (a decrease of about 41.4% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 37.8% in 2020 to 44.0%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)
2025
(Census)
5,223
2030
(Projection)
4,928
▼ -15.3%
2040
(Projection)
4,133
▼ -28.9%
2050
(Projection)
3,411
▼ -41.4%
Change vs. 2020 census
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Other municipalities in Hokkaido (北海道)
Data Sources
- Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
- National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)
* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.
Shintoku Population Table (1980–2050)
Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.
| Year | Population | vs 2020 | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | 9,502 | ▲ +63.3% | Census |
| 1985 | 9,008 | ▲ +54.9% | Census |
| 1990 | 8,412 | ▲ +44.6% | Census |
| 1995 | 7,822 | ▲ +34.5% | Census |
| 2000 | 7,657 | ▲ +31.6% | Census |
| 2005 | 7,243 | ▲ +24.5% | Census |
| 2010 | 6,653 | ▲ +14.4% | Census |
| 2015 | 6,288 | ▲ +8.1% | Census |
| 2020 | 5,817 | — | Census |
| 2025 | 5,223 | ▼ -10.2% | Census |
| 2030 | 4,928 | ▼ -15.3% | Projection |
| 2035 | 4,527 | ▼ -22.2% | Projection |
| 2040 | 4,133 | ▼ -28.9% | Projection |
| 2045 | 3,768 | ▼ -35.2% | Projection |
| 2050 | 3,411 | ▼ -41.4% | Projection |
About Shintoku
Overview
Shintoku (新得町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 5,223 as of 2025.
Population Projection of Shintoku
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Shintoku's population is expected to reach 4,928 by 2030 (-15.3%), 4,133 by 2040 (-28.9%), and 3,411 by 2050 (-41.4%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.
Aging Rate of Shintoku
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 37.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 44.0% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.
National Comparison
Shintoku is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.
National and Prefectural Rank
- Population decline rate: Ranked #665 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
- Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #945 out of 1903 nationwide.
- Population size: Ranked #1585 out of 1917 nationwide.
- Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido
Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure