Nara奈良県
Tenkawa 天川村
Data last updated:
Tenkawa, Nara, Japan has a population of 1,026 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 894 by 2030 and 523 by 2050 (a decrease of about 55.5% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 50.9% in 2020 to 47.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)
2025Census
1,026
2030Projection
894
▼ -24.0%
2040Projection
690
▼ -41.3%
2050Projection
523
▼ -55.5%
Change vs. 2020 census
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Other municipalities in Nara (奈良県)
Data Sources
- Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
- National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)
* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.
Tenkawa Population Table (1980–2050)
Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.
| Year | Population | vs 2020 | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1980 | 3,207 | ▲ +172.7% | Census |
| 1985 | 2,731 | ▲ +132.2% | Census |
| 1990 | 2,519 | ▲ +114.2% | Census |
| 1995 | 2,310 | ▲ +96.4% | Census |
| 2000 | 2,104 | ▲ +78.9% | Census |
| 2005 | 1,800 | ▲ +53.1% | Census |
| 2010 | 1,572 | ▲ +33.7% | Census |
| 2015 | 1,354 | ▲ +15.1% | Census |
| 2020 | 1,176 | — | Census |
| 2025 | 1,026 | ▼ -12.8% | Census |
| 2030 | 894 | ▼ -24.0% | Projection |
| 2035 | 785 | ▼ -33.2% | Projection |
| 2040 | 690 | ▼ -41.3% | Projection |
| 2045 | 596 | ▼ -49.3% | Projection |
| 2050 | 523 | ▼ -55.5% | Projection |
About Tenkawa
Overview
Tenkawa (天川村) is a municipality in Nara, Japan, with a population of 1,026 as of 2025.
Population Projection of Tenkawa
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Tenkawa's population is expected to reach 894 by 2030 (-24.0%), 690 by 2040 (-41.3%), and 523 by 2050 (-55.5%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.
Aging Rate of Tenkawa
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 50.9% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 47.6% by 2050. Over 40% of residents will be elderly, significantly affecting healthcare and social services needs.
National Comparison
Tenkawa is experiencing one of the faster rates of population decline in Japan.
National and Prefectural Rank
- Population decline rate: Ranked #157 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
- Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #713 out of 1903 nationwide.
- Population size: Ranked #1872 out of 1917 nationwide.
- Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nara
Earnings in Nara (奈良県): Average salary in Nara (奈良県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure