Japan Population Decline Simulator

Nara奈良県

Kamikitayama 上北山村

Data last updated:

Kamikitayama, Nara, Japan has a population of 375 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 310 by 2030 and 160 by 2050 (a decrease of about 64.0% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 51.8% in 2020 to 50.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

375

2030

(Projection)

310

▼ -30.2%

2040

(Projection)

217

▼ -51.1%

2050

(Projection)

160

▼ -64.0%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 51.8%→2050 50.6%

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Other municipalities in Nara (奈良県)

Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Kamikitayama Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
19801,155▲ +160.1%Census
19851,123▲ +152.9%Census
19901,046▲ +135.6%Census
19951,023▲ +130.4%Census
2000915▲ +106.1%Census
2005802▲ +80.6%Census
2010683▲ +53.8%Census
2015512▲ +15.3%Census
2020444—Census
2025375▼ -15.5%Census
2030310▼ -30.2%Projection
2035254▼ -42.8%Projection
2040217▼ -51.1%Projection
2045182▼ -59.0%Projection
2050160▼ -64.0%Projection

About Kamikitayama

Overview

Kamikitayama (上北山村) is a municipality in Nara, Japan, with a population of 375 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Kamikitayama

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Kamikitayama's population is expected to reach 310 by 2030 (-30.2%), 217 by 2040 (-51.1%), and 160 by 2050 (-64.0%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.

Aging Rate of Kamikitayama

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 51.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 50.6% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.

National Comparison

Kamikitayama is among the most rapidly declining municipalities in Japan.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #31 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #526 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1906 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Nara

Earnings in Nara (奈良県): Average salary in Nara (奈良県) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Kamikitayama, Nara?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Kamikitayama has a population of 375.
Q.What is the population of Kamikitayama in 2026?
A.Kamikitayama's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 362. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (375) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (310).
Q.What is the projected population of Kamikitayama in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Kamikitayama's population is expected to be 310 in 2030, 217 in 2040, and 160 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Kamikitayama?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Kamikitayama's population is projected to change by -64.0%. The 10-year change is -30.2% and the 20-year change is -51.1%.
Q.Why is the population of Kamikitayama declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Kamikitayama, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 51.8% to 50.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Kamikitayama?
A.Kamikitayama's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 51.8% as of 2020, projected to rise to 50.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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