Hokkaido北海道
Ashibetsu 芦別市
Data last updated:
Ashibetsu, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 12,578 (2020 national census). IPSS projections estimate 9,137 by 2030 and 4,498 by 2050 (a decrease of about 64.2% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 47.8% to 60.2%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)
2020
(Census)
12,578
2030
(Projection)
9,137
▼ -27.4%
2040
(Projection)
6,483
▼ -48.5%
2050
(Projection)
4,498
▼ -64.2%
Other municipalities in Hokkaido (北海道)
Data Sources
- Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)（https://www.e-stat.go.jp/）
- National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)
* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.
Ashibetsu Population Projection Table (2020–2050)
Population by year, based on the national census and IPSS (2023) projections.
| Year | Population | vs 2020 | Type |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020 | 12,578 | — | Census |
| 2025 | 10,671 | ▼ -15.2% | Projection |
| 2030 | 9,137 | ▼ -27.4% | Projection |
| 2035 | 7,730 | ▼ -38.5% | Projection |
| 2040 | 6,483 | ▼ -48.5% | Projection |
| 2045 | 5,414 | ▼ -57.0% | Projection |
| 2050 | 4,498 | ▼ -64.2% | Projection |
About Ashibetsu
Overview
Ashibetsu (芦別市) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 12,578 as of 2020.
Population Projection of Ashibetsu
According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Ashibetsu's population is expected to reach 9,137 by 2030 (-27.4%), 6,483 by 2040 (-48.5%), and 4,498 by 2050 (-64.2%). The town is projected to lose more than half its population over 30 years.
Aging Rate of Ashibetsu
The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 47.8% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 60.2% by 2050. More than half of residents will be seniors, placing the town in the "marginal municipality" category.
National Comparison
Ashibetsu is among the most rapidly declining municipalities in Japan.
National and Prefectural Rank
- Population decline rate: Ranked #30 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
- Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #99 out of 1903 nationwide.
- Population size: Ranked #1298 out of 1916 nationwide.
- Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido