Japan Population Decline Simulator

Hokkaido北海道

Betsukai 別海町

Data last updated:

Betsukai, Hokkaido, Japan has a population of 13,281 (2025 national census). IPSS projections estimate 12,663 by 2030 and 9,231 by 2050 (a decrease of about 35.8% from 2020), with the share of residents aged 65+ rising from 28.5% in 2020 to 39.6%.Sources: Japan Census (Statistics Bureau), IPSS Regional Population Projections (2023)

2025

(Census)

13,281

2030

(Projection)

12,663

▼ -11.9%

2040

(Projection)

11,011

▼ -23.4%

2050

(Projection)

9,231

▼ -35.8%

Change vs. 2020 census

Elderly Rate (65+): 2020 28.5%→2050 39.6%

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Data Sources

  • Portal Site of Official Statistics of Japan (e-Stat)(https://www.e-stat.go.jp/)
  • National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Regional Population Projections (2023 ed.)

* This service uses the e-Stat API but its content is not guaranteed by the Japanese government.

Betsukai Population Table (1980–2050)

Population by year: national census results (restated to current municipal boundaries) and IPSS (2023) projections based on the 2020 census.

YearPopulationvs 2020Type
198019,035▲ +32.4%Census
198518,533▲ +28.9%Census
199018,297▲ +27.2%Census
199517,549▲ +22.0%Census
200016,910▲ +17.6%Census
200516,460▲ +14.5%Census
201015,855▲ +10.3%Census
201515,273▲ +6.2%Census
202014,380—Census
202513,281▼ -7.6%Census
203012,663▼ -11.9%Projection
203511,850▼ -17.6%Projection
204011,011▼ -23.4%Projection
204510,129▼ -29.6%Projection
20509,231▼ -35.8%Projection

About Betsukai

Overview

Betsukai (別海町) is a municipality in Hokkaido, Japan, with a population of 13,281 as of 2025.

Population Projection of Betsukai

According to projections by Japan's National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS), Betsukai's population is expected to reach 12,663 by 2030 (-11.9%), 11,011 by 2040 (-23.4%), and 9,231 by 2050 (-35.8%). A significant population decline is projected over the next three decades.

Aging Rate of Betsukai

The aging rate (percentage of residents aged 65 and over) is 28.5% as of 2020 and is projected to rise to 39.6% by 2050. The aging rate will remain below the most severe Japanese averages.

National Comparison

Betsukai's population decline rate exceeds the national average.

National and Prefectural Rank

  • Population decline rate: Ranked #866 out of 1903 municipalities nationwide.
  • Aging rate in 2050: Ranked #1293 out of 1903 nationwide.
  • Population size: Ranked #1237 out of 1917 nationwide.
  • Related: National rankings / All municipalities in Hokkaido

Earnings in Hokkaido (北海道): Average salary in Hokkaido (北海道) by age, gender and company sizejpsalary / MHLW Basic Survey on Wage Structure

Frequently Asked Questions

Q.What is the current population of Betsukai, Hokkaido?
A.According to the 2025 national census, Betsukai has a population of 13,281.
Q.What is the population of Betsukai in 2026?
A.Betsukai's population in 2026 is estimated at approximately 13,157. This is an interpolated reference value between the 2025 census (13,281) and the IPSS projection for 2030 (12,663).
Q.What is the projected population of Betsukai in the future?
A.According to IPSS projections, Betsukai's population is expected to be 12,663 in 2030, 11,011 in 2040, and 9,231 in 2050.
Q.What is the population decline rate of Betsukai?
A.Over the 30 years from 2020 to 2050, Betsukai's population is projected to change by -35.8%. The 10-year change is -11.9% and the 20-year change is -23.4%.
Q.Why is the population of Betsukai declining?
A.Nationwide, Japan's population decline is driven by natural decrease (deaths exceeding births) and, in regional municipalities, by net out-migration of young people to major metropolitan areas. In Betsukai, the share of residents aged 65+ is projected to rise from 28.5% to 39.6% by 2050, which further accelerates natural decrease.
Q.What is the aging rate of Betsukai?
A.Betsukai's aging rate (percentage aged 65 and over) is 28.5% as of 2020, projected to rise to 39.6% by 2050.
Q.Where does this population data come from?
A.Historical data is sourced from Japan's national census via the e-Stat API (Statistics Bureau of Japan). Future projections are from the National Institute of Population and Social Security Research (IPSS) "Regional Population Projections 2023".
Q.Is the data up to date?
A.Historical data uses national census results through 2025. Future projections use the IPSS 2023 edition, which is based on the 2020 census.

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